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ESPN Computer Predicting Major Sweet 16 Upset Tonight

June 27, 2024 by The Spun

TUCSON, AZ – FEBRUARY 17: General view of action between the Arizona Wildcats and the Arizona State Sun Devils during the second half of the college basketball game at McKale Center on February 17, 2016 in Tucson, Arizona. The Wildcats defeated the Sun Devils 99-61. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Tonight’s NCAA Tournament schedule features four big-time Sweet Sixteen matchups: No. 1 Gonzaga vs. No. 4 Arkansas, No. 2 Villanova vs. No. 11 Michigan, No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 5 Houston and No. 2 Duke vs. No. 3 Texas Tech.

Ahead of these exciting contests, ESPN’s computer model has produced predictions for each game — including one major upset.

ESPN gives No. 5 Houston a 60.5% chance to take down No. 1 Arizona with a predicted point differential of 2.8.

Despite entering the tournament as a No. 1 seed, the Wildcats haven’t exactly looked like the team to beat so far. After taking down 16-seed Wright State by 17 in the first round, the 33-3 squad barely edged out No. 9 TCU with an 85-80 victory in overtime.

Houston on the other hand absolutely rolled through the first two rounds, pushing past No. 12 UAB in the Round of 64 and upsetting No. 4 Illinois with a big-time 15-point win.

THURSDAY’S SWEET 16 GAMES:

Gonzaga/Arkansas
Duke/Texas Tech
Arizona/Houston
Villanova/Michigan

— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 24, 2022

Gonzaga is projected to have the largest margin of victory with a 13-point differential over Arkansas. The tightest game is predicted between Duke and Texas Tech with a one-point differential in favor of the Red Raiders.

Filed Under: University of Arizona

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